Fire Cinderbloom ComboTier 1
at Yeti Webcam 4/27
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1511
· median 1511
· range 1511–1511
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1159
Q3 1359
1548
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Cinderbloom Combo decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
